Mumbai, July 9: Tensions between Iran and the United States have escalated, raising concerns about a potential global crisis. Retired Brigadier Sharadendu stated that the ceasefire in the Middle East was fragile from the beginning and its collapse was inevitable. He warned that the repercussions of this situation would extend beyond regional security, potentially leading to inflation, an energy crisis, and economic instability worldwide.
Sharadendu noted that the announced “fragile ceasefire” proved to be weak in practice. The breakdown began with actions from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which targeted commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, providing the US with an opportunity for military action.
Following these incidents, the US launched a large-scale military operation around the Strait of Hormuz, targeting nearly 80 sites, including command centers and military bases, resulting in significant damage. Iran aimed to maintain control over maritime routes in the Strait, while the US and other nations advocated for free maritime passage, intensifying the conflict.
The retired military officer emphasized that the current struggle is not just about military action but also a battle for dominance across the Middle East. The large turnout at Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s funeral demonstrated that Iran still enjoys strong social support. This environment has raised questions about the credibility of the US, which felt the need to showcase its military strength. The IRGC’s actions provided the US with a pretext to break the ceasefire. Throughout the conflict, both sides have remained engaged in military preparations, and as soon as the opportunity arose, hostilities resumed. Currently, both parties appear to be fully prepared for war.
Sharadendu expressed concern that this conflict could significantly impact the global economy. Oil prices have already begun to rise, and stock markets are experiencing instability. If the conflict prolongs, inflation may increase globally, the energy crisis could deepen, and the global supply chain may be affected. Diplomatic talks are also showing signs of disruption, with ongoing dialogue between Iran and the US now completely obstructed. The biggest strategic beneficiary of this situation appears to be Israel, which does not want a permanent agreement between Iran and the US.
He stated that the US aims to completely eliminate Iran’s nuclear program, and the current developments have provided a basis for military action. President Trump previously supported the ceasefire and a 14-point plan, but as soon as the opportunity for military action arose, the US launched large-scale attacks again. Iran’s greatest strength lies in its internal unity. Following attacks on its leadership, national unity within the country has strengthened, enabling Iran to face the conflict with resilience. Both sides are fully prepared and continuously targeting each other.
Sharadendu further remarked that it is currently impossible to predict how long this conflict will last. The future situation will depend on whether both sides are willing to give peace talks another chance or if military confrontation will dictate the path forward. The international community must also formulate new strategies and make serious efforts to restore dialogue to prevent the region from descending into widespread war and its global repercussions.
Deependra Singh Chundawat is a Senior Sub-Editor at Udaipur Kiran, specializing in a wide range of technology topics including mobile phones, applications, gaming, PCs, and wearables. Along with covering the latest tech news, he also creates engaging web stories. Passionate about emerging technologies, he stays up to date with the newest trends and enjoys reading and writing about the latest mobile launches and digital innovations.